Go No Go Model

What influences the decision to go ahead or not?
River State

It is anybody’s guess how the situation on the Sunbury-Molesey stretch will turn out by race day or more particularly the Friday before, which is when we have to let people know if there’s going to be a change of plan.

We have an established decision model for River State which remains valid. The”Go/NoGo”model, which follows. This uses the Colour of Board in the first instance, and further influenced by (a) a Stick Test, measuring river speed at MBC, (b) the Flow Meter above Sunbury Lock, measuring flow in volume per second, and (c) the Lock Keeper’s advice. 

 Weather

  Precautions (or even difficult decisions) would be indicated if there were any of these:

  •   Dangerously high winds/gusts expected – particularly coming from the East, as these blowing against     the stream down Platts Eyot can cause standing waves.
  •  Severe mist/fog, limiting visibility. As a rule of thumb, 200 metres would be the safe minimum.
  •  Severe cold. As a rule of thumb, an air temperature below 4 degrees Centigrade
  •  Thunderstorm
Who decides and how?

Meetings take place at the riverside (MBC and the Start) on Wednesday and Friday mornings prior to the event. Attended by Ted Bates (Secretary), Andrew Ruddle (i/c Racing), Pat Sinnott (Safety Officer).

Here is our decision tree:

DECISIONMODEL